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This article originally appeared on The Hill's Congress Blog.
By Michael Boyce
BEIRUT - Lebanon is a country of tremendous complexity. But the
country's mood today can probably be summed up in one word: tense. It
may not seem that way to tourists in Beirut, where the mix of
cosmopolitan nightlife and Mediterranean views is enough to keep any
visitor occupied. But residents say that the bars are not as busy as
they once were. Soldiers are patrolling streets where they would have
been absent a few months before. More and more people are arming
themselves, and have been using those arms in clashes in Beirut and
Tripoli.
Some claim that this does not represent a trend: "This is Lebanon," they
say, "these things just happen sometimes." But many more are genuinely
worried - and their worries are rooted across the border in Syria.
Looking at their giant neighbor, they see horrendous violence that shows
no signs of stopping, a failing UN monitoring mission, and rising
militancy on both sides. They also see a country on which they have
depended - economically, politically, and militarily - for decades, and
whose problems could very quickly become their own.
Average Lebanese are tense, and so is their government. With its
officially neutral stance on Syria, the government has walked a
tightrope for months to distance itself from the conflict between Syrian
President Bashar al-Assad and opposition groups. But the most tense of
all may be the Syrian refugees themselves, of which there are now at
least 26,000 in Lebanon alone. Many have lost loved ones in the
conflict, been wounded or maimed, or suffered serious psychological
trauma. And while some have come forward to speak about their problems
and seek help, others still live in fear. They worry that among their
number may be Syrian spies, and that information they give to aid groups
could all too easily be leaked to Assad sympathizers. (One man we
visited refused even to have his voice recorded for fear he might be
identified.) This means that many Syrians may be living underground -
beyond the reach of international and local aid providers.
These refugees' fears are not mere paranoia. In the border areas
where many of them live, the line between Syria and Lebanon is not
easily drawn. Day workers, smugglers, and perhaps things more sinister,
go back and forth between the two countries daily. It's not
inconceivable that if a man was identified as living in Lebanon one day,
his home in Syria could be broken into the next. But this fear is
having an impact on assistance. Aid groups say that they are meeting
most refugees' basic needs - like food and shelter - but one Syrian we
met said that many of his compatriots are being missed. He claimed, for
example, that he had seen Syrian refugees sleeping in open fields at
night, with cardboard boxes for blankets. Finding a way to access these
people quickly and deliver help, without putting them in danger, is
critical.
The tension hanging about Lebanon these days is unlikely to abate soon,
and could explode into open hostility at any time. If that were to
happen, delivering aid to Syrian refugees in Lebanon - and getting
political support for that aid - could become even more difficult. Aid
providers cannot prevent those hostilities from breaking out, but they
can make sure that those Syrian refugees who now live in fear don't also
live in deprivation.